After Everything: Projections of Jobs, Education, and Training Requirements through 2031

2023

Created by: Anthony P. Carnevale, Nicole Smith, Martin Van Der Werf, Michael C. Quinn — Georgetown University, McCourt School of Public Policy

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This report provides national job projections through 2031, highlighting the increasing demand for postsecondary education and training across various industries and occupations. It is intended for policymakers, educators, and workforce development professionals to help align educational programs with future job market needs. By examining industry trends and educational requirements, the report offers insights into how technological changes and economic shifts are influencing workforce demands. The report emphasizes the importance of upskilling workers and expanding educational opportunities to prepare for the future of work, with a focus on addressing the growing skills gap in the U.S. economy.

KEY INSIGHTS

• What industries present opportunity in the next few years in Hawaiʻi, and what levels of education may be needed to get these jobs?

  Healthcare is expected to grow by 28%, STEM by 14%, and managerial roles by 12%.

  These industries will require a range of educational levels.

  By 2031, 70% of jobs in Hawaiʻi will require some level of postsecondary education.

  The highest demand will be for workers with bachelor's degrees, which will make up 25% of jobs.

  Jobs for individuals with some college or an associate's degree will also be in high demand.

  Sales, office support, blue-collar, and food service jobs may still provide opportunities for those with only a high school diploma or less.

• What are the key workforce challenges Hawaiʻi will face over the next decade?

  One challenge is ensuring there is enough skilled labor to meet the growing demand for healthcare and STEM professionals. The state will need to focus on increasing access to postsecondary education and training to prepare the workforce adequately.

• How does Hawaiʻi compare to other states in terms of education requirements for future jobs?

  Hawaiʻi ranks 9th in the proportion of jobs requiring a bachelor’s degree and 12th in jobs requiring postsecondary education. This suggests that Hawaiʻi will have a higher demand for skilled workers compared to many other state.

• What are the job prospects for individuals with lower levels of education in Hawaiʻi?

  While job growth is concentrated in roles requiring postsecondary education, there will still be 18,000 job openings annually for those with only a high school diploma. These roles will primarily be in blue-collar, sales, and personal services industries.

• What role will middle-skill jobs play in Hawaiʻi’s economy?

  Middle-skill jobs, which require some college or an associate’s degree, are projected to grow significantly. These jobs will account for 29% of all employment opportunities, particularly in fields like healthcare support, blue-collar work, and technical roles​.